If you like train wrecks of the intellect, Nick Douglas has got a doozy for you over at Slate.com in which he demonstrates an astounding ability to simultaneously misunderstand the market economy and undercut his own arguments. His thesis? YouTube (not online video, just YouTube) is way too popular. (All emphases in quotations are my own.)
Web video isn't an oligarchy, it's a dictatorship. You're either on YouTube or nobody's watching.
...
YouTube ... gets 60 percent of all online video traffic—that's up from 43 percent a year ago.
First, I wasn't aware that 40 percent of video traffic is equivalent to "nobody's watching." Second, I was under the impression that most dictators enforce their wills through force and fear. Contrast that to YouTube, which is a website that people are free to use or not at their own pleasure. That is to say, online video is a democracy, and YouTube is winning in a landslide. To me, that suggests that YouTube is doing something that a lot of people like. And, it turns out, Mr. Douglas' article spells out exactly what that is:
Until recently, file formats and bandwidth costs made sharing video online a gigantic pain. ... In order to watch videos in your browser, you had to download all sorts of plug-ins. Mac-made videos often didn't work on PCs, and vice versa. Then, in 2005, YouTube launched, fixing all of those annoying problems.
YouTube wasn't the first site to host online video, but it was the first to do it well. YouTube instantly trumped sites like Vimeo, Veoh and Grouper by converting all uploaded videos into universally viewable Flash videos—so long, browser plug-ins!
Oh, so YouTube became popular by introducing an innovation that made mass online video sharing possible and started stomping it's competition? Shocking! But wait, there's more:
Once YouTube grabs a viewer, it doesn't let go. While the site got 43 percent of all visits to video sites in 2006, it earned 54 percent of page views—that means YouTube users stick around longer and watch more video than people who browse on competing sites.
YouTube will grab me and not let go? How does it do that? Spyware? Viruses? Hypnotism? Oh, wait...
Next to every clip, YouTube lists up to 20 related videos, as well as other videos by the same creator and four "director videos," all promoted with an enticing thumbnail. With so many tempting links, it takes a lot of self-control not to veg out and clip-surf for hours.
So it keeps me watching by bringing up a lot of other entertaining material that I might want to see without my even having to ask for it? I think most people would consider that a feature. And maybe, just maybe, YouTube is such a big player because it's creating so much value for its viewers through such features.
Nevertheless, Mr. Douglas insists that YouTube's size is a problem because it stifles the artistic creativity of it's users:
...[N]ot everyone is welcome on YouTube. While the site has done a remarkable job building up the infrastructure that allows people to watch videos on the Web, it has also created a number of barriers to entry. The site bans nonpornographic nudity, places a 10-minute limit on most uploads, and has a resistance (so far) to including live streams. And if you want live streaming video, you'll have to go to Ustream or Stickam.
Let's leave aside whether any of this constitutes "barriers to entry" as an economist would define the term. What Mr. Douglas is pointing out is that there is still room for improvement in the online video business. Which means that if YouTube's competitors address the shortfalls in its service (and apparently some already are), they can knock it from its current perch and reap the spoils.
So let's recap. YouTube dominates the online video market because it 1) introduced an extremely valuable innovation and 2) tries to offer its viewers more of what they want without their even having to look for it. This has made it wildly popular and its competitors less so. But YouTube's service isn't perfect, and there's plenty of money to be made by competitors who can innovate to offer a better service. Mr. Douglas seems to find this all very vexing. But as a consumer of online videos, I couldn't be happier.
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