A quote to ponder from Albert Einstein:
As quoted in M. Strong's The Habit of Thought, chapter 2: Intellectual Integrity.
Bryan Caplan: The Myth of the Rational Voter: Why Democracies Choose Bad Policies
Peter L. Bernstein: Against the Gods: The Remarkable Story of Risk
Clayton M. Christensen: The Innovator's Solution: Creating and Sustaining Successful Growth
Bruce Caldwell: Hayek's Challenge : An Intellectual Biography of F.A. Hayek
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Great post Ben. I wonder how this quote would apply to the scientific community as it relates to Global Warming. With many scientists claiming the unquestionable ties of CO2 and the burning of fossil fuels to Global Warming. I wonder how much longer it will take for the "laws of nature" to prove them wrong or prove them right beyond all doubt? My opinion is that misaligned incentives and a lack of Principle 1 (Integrity) have caused many scientists to ignore the laws of nature only to deceive the general public in order to maintain their funding. I'm certain the next 10 to 20 years will provide clarity.
Posted by: John | 04 March 2009 at 04:46 PM
I also immediately thought about the science of Climate Change. I am worried that 10 to 20 years will not be enough as there are predictions of temperature increases centuries away. With a plane, you know if you correctly interpreted the laws of nature within the first flight, I wonder if the same "strong underlying ethical principle" is still automatic when results cannot be directly observed for many lifetimes. I hope so, as the scientific method is to come up with a theory and then try to disprove it through a type of challenge process. What I am worried about with Climate Change is that we may come up with a theory and then through nonscientific (political, financial, intimidation, etc.) means shutdown any debate about it. I am also worried that we may have already past this point.
Posted by: Nathan | 11 March 2009 at 12:32 PM